CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10ea628b4f6f4a2e7e6e5ac30f3c7c27639a1dcbf6f5d16de2608a4e4dc17eaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98fc…6e31backed Under | 49c | 4,048$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 3,211$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.36 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 68c | 2,939$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 43c | 2,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked Over | 67c | 1,450$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.42 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 34c | 1,375$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.55 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 31c | 1,107$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.73 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 35c | 1,038$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.08 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.01 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 31c | 462.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.12 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 68c | 412.23$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.93 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 327.05$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 30c | 287.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 29c | 259.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 33c | 240.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 66c | 197.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 70c | 167$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 159.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 34c | 155.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 61c | 130.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 66c | 101.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Over | 30c | 96.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Over | 31c | 95.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 80.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 72.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 66c | 72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Under | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Over | 25c | 60.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 64c | 57.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…01d2backed Over | 37c | 53.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 35c | 49.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 31c | 49.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 36.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 49c | 25.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 68c | 16.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 WinnerThe Huns Esports won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)The Huns Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.