Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Amanda Anisimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f4d1df9e44121c5dbfeb2b04f902505c8b394bbdf67948df3e8a22edd52d88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amanda Anisimovaof Sarah Rakotomanga, Amanda Anisimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 7c | 6,961$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.89 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 3c | 6,137$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 5,967$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.37 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 1c | 3,348$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 0c | 3,348$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 2,500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.47 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 1c | 1,910$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 1,790$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 1,336$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 12c | 1,085$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 14c | 1,061$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 12c | 1,008$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 7c | 822.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 738.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 733.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 6c | 661.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 332.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 20c | 135.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…b34cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 17c | 99.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Amanda Anisimovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Rakotomanga vs AnisimovaAnisimova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.