Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f80ef986200b932bb0ca55843ee3e651299a74142cfa7ddcbeedb37c838f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 29c | 1,727$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,720$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.22 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 73c | 987$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 896.42$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.43 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 660$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 649.47$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 628.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 537.69$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 483.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 438$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 24c | 362.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 306$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 271.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 269.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 72c | 181.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 179$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…2151backed Yes | 37c | 133.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 18c | 107.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 96.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes | 28c | 71.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 26c | 46.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…49babacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae98…412bbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…13d4backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 22.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.