Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10fc5f7c6b9928cbe499c5ae66409c99901263ae746b933989f62e1c12affa8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 6,927$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.44 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 5,911$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.99 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 3,425$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 72c | 3,293$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.06 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 2,354$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.21 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,587$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 14c | 1,552$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 956.09$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 19c | 443.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Yes | 25c | 293$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 258.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 186$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 177.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 169.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 22c | 141.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 114.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Yes | 10c | 107.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 29c | 56.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 49.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 37.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed No | 80c | 30.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 38c | 29.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked No | 73c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.