Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06ad5bfb11f08103df762edbee1799343788c017a30713ccf13dc6f6ebb93dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 5,103$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.62 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 4,562$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 28c | 1,724$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.32 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Yes | 47c | 1,472$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 28c | 1,431$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.69 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 53c | 1,264$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,019$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 47c | 644.67$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.68 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 28c | 614.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 53c | 588.91$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.12 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 27c | 538.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 54c | 528.17$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.21 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 47c | 425.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 45c | 347$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 340.17$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 74c | 295.32$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 52c | 219.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 46c | 209.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 173.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 72c | 154.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 53c | 143.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 11c | 136.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…834cbacked Yes | 73c | 127.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 47c | 123.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 66c | 114.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 27c | 99.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 30c | 95.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed No | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 58c | 84.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 20c | 78.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 50c | 75.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 46c | 75.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 42c | 74.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 35c | 71.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 27c | 70.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 63c | 68.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 39c | 67.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 26c | 64.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 39c | 64.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed No | 27c | 60.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 21c | 59.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 43c | 58.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…ba27backed Yes | 56c | 54.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 53.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 48c | 52.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +12.0wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Yes | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 53c | 47.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 47.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 43c | 45.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 43.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 48c | 43.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…8803backed Yes | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 44c | 38.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 45c | 38.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 38.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 38.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 34.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…4a47backed No | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 52c | 33.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 58c | 24.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 75c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.