Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110e10b2116d7e39168af3096cb6e2b45d36609d318e9217f3de914fd68c8a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baptisteof Alexandrova, Baptiste
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Baptiste | 51c | 3,956$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.74 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Alexandrova | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Alexandrova | 57c | 1,427$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.83 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Baptiste | 45c | 1,406$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.42 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Alexandrova | 50c | 1,321$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.32 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alexandrova | 57c | 920.35$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Alexandrova | 50c | 581.1$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baptiste | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Alexandrova | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alexandrova | 49c | 271.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baptiste | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Baptiste | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Baptiste | 49c | 61.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Baptiste | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Baptiste | 43c | 53.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…1d33backed Alexandrova | 57c | 52.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Baptiste | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Baptiste | 43c | 34.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)this page
- Baptiste vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Baptiste vs. Alexandrova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova won
- Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs AlexandrovaBaptiste won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.