Tennis · resolved market
ITF Darmstadt: Anastasiia Firman vs Sohyun Park
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110ee2c7b6a52549209a0958eca4427b880fb881e16b17d0b573c668275caea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasiia Firmanof Anastasiia Firman, Sohyun Park
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sohyun Park | 40c | 4,232$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.43 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Anastasiia Firman | 62c | 2,440$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.47 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sohyun Park | 49c | 788.68$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.6 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasiia Firman | 51c | 763.31$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.02 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anastasiia Firman | 66c | 686.08$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.27 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Anastasiia Firman | 42c | 441.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Sohyun Park | 42c | 385.16$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Sohyun Park | 48c | 360.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anastasiia Firman | 57c | 307.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Anastasiia Firman | 47c | 221.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Anastasiia Firman | 74c | 173.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sohyun Park | 18c | 171.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sohyun Park | 61c | 102.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Anastasiia Firman | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Anastasiia Firman | 64c | 88.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Sohyun Park | 57c | 79.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sohyun Park | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Sohyun Park | 43c | 58.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sohyun Park | 30c | 58.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Sohyun Park | 54c | 57.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Sohyun Park | 53c | 53.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Anastasiia Firman | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Anastasiia Firman | 50c | 40.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Anastasiia Firman | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Anastasiia Firman | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Sohyun Park | 33c | 33.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Sohyun Park | 61c | 31.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sohyun Park | 36c | 30.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Anastasiia Firman | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anastasiia Firman | 53c | 25.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Sohyun Park | 55c | 24.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…9a59backed Anastasiia Firman | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.