NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x115752a4f026e66ce78743c9971ffdb21a02ff799290342b90e21716db9bb8a8

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Predators
Resolved: Dec 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $261,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $261,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,194 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Hurricanes	47c	89,118$41,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,232.39	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Hurricanes	46c	85,466$39,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,758.28	177	49.2%87 W · 90 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hurricanes	47c	59,623$27,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,647.42	390	47.9%187 W · 203 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Predators	53c	52,126$27,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,678.76	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Predators	53c	42,183$22,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,356.99	881	51.2%451 W · 430 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Predators	54c	27,167$14,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,670	145	53.1%77 W · 68 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Predators	53c	22,000$11,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,660	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Predators	53c	18,795$9,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,998.38	286	52.4%150 W · 136 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Predators	53c	14,451$7,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,710.02	574	53.8%309 W · 265 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Predators	53c	12,862$6,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,816.86	283	53%150 W · 133 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Predators	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	195	55.4%108 W · 87 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Predators	53c	9,846$5,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,236.32	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators	53c	8,301$4,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,417.96	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Predators	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	221	50.2%111 W · 110 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Predators	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Predators	54c	2,185$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.9	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Predators	53c	2,054$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.62	1,143	50.8%581 W · 562 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Predators	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	348	45.4%158 W · 190 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Predators	53c	1,878$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.04	222	48.2%107 W · 115 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Predators	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	353	49.6%175 W · 178 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Predators	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Predators	53c	792$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.76	728	47.9%349 W · 379 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Predators	53c	748$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.92	376	49.7%187 W · 189 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Predators	53c	574.45$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.46	301	52.5%158 W · 143 L	+17.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Predators	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	93	53.8%50 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Predators	53c	299$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.06	792	51.1%405 W · 387 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Predators	54c	259.26$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1,093	51.8%566 W · 527 L	+14.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Predators	53c	224$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.16	481	49.3%237 W · 244 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Predators	53c	224$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.16	583	46.5%271 W · 312 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Predators	53c	224$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.16	472	49.2%232 W · 240 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Predators	53c	198.5$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.94	1,530	51.7%791 W · 739 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Predators	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	304	47.4%144 W · 160 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Predators	53c	185$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.42	295	50.2%148 W · 147 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Predators	53c	181.84$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.38	695	50.1%348 W · 347 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Predators	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	481	61.3%295 W · 186 L	+21.3wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Predators	54c	163$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.49	793	50.1%397 W · 396 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Predators	53c	149$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.26	291	47.4%138 W · 153 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Predators	53c	149$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.26	216	48.1%104 W · 112 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Predators	53c	149$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.26	175	52%91 W · 84 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Predators	53c	149$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.26	418	51.4%215 W · 203 L	+14.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Predators	53c	149$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.26	605	49.3%298 W · 307 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Predators	53c	149$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.26	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Predators	57c	125.13$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.32	484	52.3%253 W · 231 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Predators	53c	110$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.52	264	48.9%129 W · 135 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Predators	53c	110$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.52	263	48.7%128 W · 135 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Predators	53c	110$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.52	271	48.7%132 W · 139 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Predators	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	599	50.4%302 W · 297 L	+20.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8861…e19fbacked Hurricanes	46c	76.09$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.09	177	53.1%94 W · 83 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	231	44.6%103 W · 128 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	204	47.5%97 W · 107 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	147	46.9%69 W · 78 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	98	52%51 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	102	50%51 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	194	42.8%83 W · 111 L	-12.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	99	51.5%51 W · 48 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	209	42.6%89 W · 120 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	75	54.7%41 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	189	46%87 W · 102 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	190	46.8%89 W · 101 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	200	45.5%91 W · 109 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Predators	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	219	51.6%113 W · 106 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Hurricanes	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Hurricanes	46c	49.82$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	418	47.8%200 W · 218 L	+11.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…92ecbacked Predators	53c	36.42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Predators	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	132	46.2%61 W · 71 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Hurricanes	47c	27.13$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.38	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa3…2e4abacked Hurricanes	46c	24.35$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.15	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
Predators vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
Predators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event