Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Oliver Okonkwo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11667d1dc4c65e51db1beb158624363d286f5171b1245be657ddcda08788f241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dane Sweenyof Dane Sweeny, Oliver Okonkwo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Oliver Okonkwo | 31c | 2,885$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.18 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Oliver Okonkwo | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Dane Sweeny | 76c | 1,690$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Oliver Okonkwo | 9c | 1,108$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Oliver Okonkwo | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dane Sweeny | 69c | 931.67$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.48 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Dane Sweeny | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Oliver Okonkwo | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…9dbebacked Oliver Okonkwo | 4c | 486.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Dane Sweeny | 71c | 416.65$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked Dane Sweeny | 76c | 316.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Oliver Okonkwo | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oliver Okonkwo | 19c | 283.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Oliver Okonkwo | 7c | 282.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Oliver Okonkwo | 25c | 274.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Oliver Okonkwo | 22c | 273.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dane Sweeny | 78c | 259.69$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Dane Sweeny | 70c | 257.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Oliver Okonkwo | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Dane Sweeny | 71c | 209.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Oliver Okonkwo | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Oliver Okonkwo | 29c | 147.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Dane Sweeny | 78c | 140.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Dane Sweeny | 74c | 138.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Dane Sweeny | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Dane Sweeny | 75c | 129.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dane Sweeny | 69c | 126.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dane Sweeny | 72c | 102.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Oliver Okonkwo | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Oliver Okonkwo | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Oliver Okonkwo | 30c | 96.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dane Sweeny | 72c | 91.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Oliver Okonkwo | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Oliver Okonkwo | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Oliver Okonkwo | 23c | 65.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Oliver Okonkwo | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Oliver Okonkwo | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Dane Sweeny | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dane Sweeny | 74c | 31.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Dane Sweeny | 78c | 24.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Dane Sweeny | 73c | 21.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Dane Sweeny | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Dane Sweeny | 70c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Dane Sweeny | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…7175backed Dane Sweeny | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Dane Sweeny | 79c | 13.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.