Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest beat Fulham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x116dcbd6845fc421a4f5dfd9553920eb818fa947f673f48c8605972c397e48d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 42c | 2,402$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 58c | 1,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.62 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 74c | 662.78$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 59c | 498.93$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 59c | 333$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…38b7backed No | 61c | 326.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 58c | 304.75$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Yes | 38c | 206.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed No | 61c | 159.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…11cabacked Yes | 40c | 98.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18da…5e25backed No | 63c | 96.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…2adcbacked No | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…46d3backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 41c | 48.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed No | 75c | 40.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 61c | 36.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…b75bbacked No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest beat Fulham?this page
- Will Fulham beat Nottingham Forest?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.