Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Snigur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11b173feff409f8b4a1cbc9bca3aca74118f53c19f6932a425f0673f0923e4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iga Swiatekof Iga Swiatek, Daria Snigur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Daria Snigur | 5c | 46,037$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.7 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Daria Snigur | 4c | 24,954$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.59 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Daria Snigur | 6c | 14,108$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.13 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Daria Snigur | 3c | 9,279$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Daria Snigur | 3c | 8,876$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 3,512$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Daria Snigur | 4c | 2,230$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Daria Snigur | 7c | 2,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…a8b6backed Daria Snigur | 7c | 1,987$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Daria Snigur | 1c | 1,569$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Daria Snigur | 4c | 1,535$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Daria Snigur | 4c | 1,438$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Daria Snigur | 4c | 1,368$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Daria Snigur | 4c | 1,256$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…67f0backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 1,212$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 1,108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Daria Snigur | 4c | 1,095$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Daria Snigur | 3c | 1,083$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 1,066$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Daria Snigur | 6c | 1,058$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Daria Snigur | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 1,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daria Snigur | 4c | 887.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daria Snigur | 4c | 772.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked Daria Snigur | 3c | 771.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 701.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 689.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Daria Snigur | 4c | 668.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Daria Snigur | 4c | 663.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Daria Snigur | 5c | 548.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Daria Snigur | 3c | 458.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Daria Snigur | 6c | 447.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…dd7dbacked Daria Snigur | 4c | 346.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Daria Snigur | 5c | 334.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Daria Snigur | 3c | 333.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 323.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daria Snigur | 4c | 311.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc4…c4a4backed Daria Snigur | 5c | 285.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Daria Snigur | 4c | 280.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836a…d8bdbacked Daria Snigur | 5c | 277.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.