Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11e082e782cc1136b2c3026d1a326421b3b152ec1661b0e851ee010cdf30611a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 16,121$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 11,654$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1255…fa6fbacked Yes | 8c | 7,750$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…1e5abacked Yes | 9c | 5,372$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 13c | 4,030$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.54 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 14c | 3,539$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 2c | 2,519$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 2c | 2,214$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,525$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 2c | 1,484$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 11c | 1,405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…4a7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,395$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 9c | 1,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 10c | 966.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 8c | 902.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 2c | 676.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…bec8backed Yes | 9c | 670.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 2c | 665.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…a7b7backed Yes | 8c | 602.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 584.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…b117backed Yes | 8c | 487.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…78e5backed Yes | 11c | 473.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…56adbacked Yes | 20c | 372.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…0303backed Yes | 14c | 352.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 20c | 281.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 6c | 274$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 12c | 245.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…23fdbacked Yes | 9c | 220$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 7c | 214.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…cc98backed Yes | 8c | 211.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…2edfbacked Yes | 12c | 201.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 14.9%18 W · 103 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…1439backed Yes | 10c | 191.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 5c | 190.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 11c | 175.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 8c | 172.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 14c | 147.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 11c | 144.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 17c | 119.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 10c | 105.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 18c | 82.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.