Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b7f766dd4d1fdc9b3054cd01c60ea6ba69e4a757e0e1eb9b43e4fd0ea4d8e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 13c | 25,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 6,887$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 3,379$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 11c | 2,522$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Yes | 11c | 2,288$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 12c | 1,680$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…56adbacked Yes | 12c | 1,628$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,292$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…007dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,224$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +223.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 5c | 1,125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,058$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,057$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 5c | 869.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 5c | 671.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Yes | 5c | 652.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 5c | 444.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…78e5backed Yes | 13c | 398.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 13c | 381.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 12c | 341.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 10c | 327.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes | 5c | 326.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab55…e83fbacked Yes | 5c | 326.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 13c | 304.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 7c | 287.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 5c | 260.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 10c | 246.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…8dafbacked Yes | 12c | 245.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 12c | 243.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 5c | 241.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes | 5c | 220$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…6232backed Yes | 12c | 218.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…4061backed Yes | 12c | 208.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 10c | 185.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 11c | 178.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…5150backed Yes | 12c | 168.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 13c | 149.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 12c | 134.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…1e5abacked Yes | 13c | 129$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…2b98backed Yes | 12c | 123.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…79a8backed Yes | 12c | 113.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 113.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 9c | 111.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.