Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Yuyao Li vs Chenting Zhu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1203004330b06a77ea415920021d3dea3586e3665a3415b049f32ab48b5be279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chenting Zhuof Yuyao Li, Chenting Zhu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chenting Zhu | 75c | 18,846$14,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yuyao Li | 25c | 14,796$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.78 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuyao Li | 18c | 1,474$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yuyao Li | 18c | 730.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuyao Li | 21c | 545.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yuyao Li | 18c | 426$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yuyao Li | 18c | 316$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Yuyao Li | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yuyao Li | 19c | 260.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Chenting Zhu | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yuyao Li | 26c | 215.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yuyao Li | 20c | 196$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Chenting Zhu | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yuyao Li | 25c | 97.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 178 | 60.1%107 W · 71 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yuyao Li | 19c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yuyao Li | 17c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Chenting Zhu | 73c | 58.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed Chenting Zhu | 75c | 55.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Chenting Zhu | 76c | 46.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Chenting Zhu | 68c | 30.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Chenting Zhu | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Chenting Zhu | 79c | 29.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Chenting Zhu | 77c | 27.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Yuyao Li | 51c | 25.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Chenting Zhu | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.