CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x120b61225847a4e79e573bc8f7c2b28bad24fbea99a254f344f3617eaf2e0f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof BET-M 33, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BET-M 33 | 0c | 27,842$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed BET-M 33 | 21c | 1,199$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BET-M 33 | 53c | 1,172$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BET-M 33 | 25c | 1,012$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Tricked | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed BET-M 33 | 37c | 563.92$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c2…be71backed BET-M 33 | 43c | 480$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Tricked | 47c | 319.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Tricked | 47c | 315$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed BET-M 33 | 37c | 308.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked BET-M 33 | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Tricked | 70c | 286.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BET-M 33 | 53c | 286.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed BET-M 33 | 53c | 253.19$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Tricked | 47c | 253.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tricked | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Tricked | 47c | 245.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 33 | 38c | 230.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tricked | 68c | 221.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tricked | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 18c | 205.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Tricked | 46c | 205.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed Tricked | 47c | 188$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Tricked | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed Tricked | 57c | 169.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Tricked | 46c | 169.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…0214backed BET-M 33 | 18c | 163.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Tricked | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0413…668abacked BET-M 33 | 35c | 126.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Tricked | 47c | 118.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked Tricked | 44c | 102.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked BET-M 33 | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BET-M 33 | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…8e4cbacked BET-M 33 | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked BET-M 33 | 55c | 96.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Tricked | 45c | 96.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked Tricked | 49c | 81.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed BET-M 33 | 41c | 73.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Tricked | 46c | 69.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BET-M 33 | 54c | 68.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…ed75backed Tricked | 70c | 65.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Tricked | 65c | 64.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed BET-M 33 | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 68c | 54.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed BET-M 33 | 58c | 51.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tricked | 67c | 50.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed Tricked | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BET-M 33 | 54c | 48.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Tricked | 40c | 43.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Tricked | 47c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed BET-M 33 | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed BET-M 33 | 54c | 39.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 35c | 38.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Tricked | 46c | 30.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked | 71c | 29.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Tricked | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Tricked | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…2a98backed BET-M 33 | 60c | 24.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Tricked | 52c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Tricked | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Tricked | 68c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Tricked | 73c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTricked won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
- Map Handicap: TRI (-1.5) vs BET-M 33 (+1.5)Tricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.