CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1216e5d92c111f7484f9f56759c311924563471fd1463c3ef6b6c1d47937353e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Black Phoenix, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Black Phoenix | 12c | 887$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 209 | 35.9%75 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 33c | 739.31$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 529.93$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 479.48$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 443.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 213$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 183.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 172.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 19c | 143.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 47c | 131.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 100.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 41c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 52.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 46.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 41c | 45.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 27.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 15.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.