CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b09f47f8542281b7d9be54bed01d39e0935ec80f7986b96d99cda2ad94c1f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 71c | 1,532$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.38 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 738.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 713.75$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.88 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 710.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Black Phoenix | 73c | 658.75$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 653.23$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 574.14$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 498.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 341.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Black Phoenix | 76c | 293.93$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 292.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 30c | 263.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 234.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix | 57c | 232.36$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 230.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 224.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 31c | 151.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 149.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 54c | 129$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 66c | 109.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Black Phoenix | 72c | 105.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 81.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 67c | 70.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 57.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 49.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Black Phoenix | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.