Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1223969d68c41a00b6372c1406e4f117f5670560ce30713e0612f75eb83b7bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 1,798$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.12 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Under | 49c | 785.41$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.45 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 52c | 746.84$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 13c | 741.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 617.85$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.06 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 50c | 615.56$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.17 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Under | 53c | 305.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed Over | 52c | 305.12$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 52c | 268.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…de4bbacked Over | 48c | 260.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 53c | 223.51$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 52c | 216.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 54c | 141.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 53c | 113.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 39c | 112.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 107.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Under | 54c | 105.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0236backed Under | 49c | 95.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 56c | 89.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 70c | 89.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 48c | 88.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…206fbacked Over | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 76.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 49c | 66.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 28c | 60.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Under | 48c | 53.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…8fffbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 161 | 43.5%70 W · 91 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…e15cbacked Under | 50c | 45.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 51c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 60c | 36.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Under | 55c | 32.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 47c | 29.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…f05dbacked Under | 47c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.