Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Zidansek (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128bc8ef8bbfa39164f44d17a0ec8f711157b700b198e524cc703385d9e5bfad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zidansekof Badosa, Zidansek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Zidansek | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Badosa | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Badosa | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Badosa | 51c | 797.59$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.56 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Zidansek | 49c | 411.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Badosa | 51c | 243.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…1706backed Zidansek | 49c | 198.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Badosa | 14c | 163.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Zidansek | 49c | 159.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Zidansek | 65c | 133.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Zidansek | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Badosa | 50c | 85.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zidansek | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zidansek | 47c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Zidansek | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Zidansek (+1.5)this page
- Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara ZidansekPaula Badosa won
- Paula Badosa vs. Tamara Zidansek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Badosa vs ZidansekZidansek won
- Set 2 Winner: Badosa vs ZidansekBadosa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.