Tennis · resolved market
Cordoba: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Renzo Olivo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1293442da354213eefab0396287763bdc2d48121b2d36073340b4f750ecbb754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogiof Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, Renzo Olivo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 69c | 3,385$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.05 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…4168backed Renzo Olivo | 18c | 3,147$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 79c | 2,147$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.04 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Renzo Olivo | 18c | 1,936$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Renzo Olivo | 25c | 775.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Renzo Olivo | 18c | 765.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Renzo Olivo | 33c | 631.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Renzo Olivo | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Renzo Olivo | 15c | 542.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Renzo Olivo | 32c | 449.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Renzo Olivo | 27c | 314.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 69c | 303.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 78c | 296.66$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Renzo Olivo | 28c | 276.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Renzo Olivo | 15c | 256.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Renzo Olivo | 33c | 238.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Renzo Olivo | 18c | 215.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Renzo Olivo | 24c | 213.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 73c | 151.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Renzo Olivo | 15c | 113.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 76c | 75.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Renzo Olivo | 16c | 67.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Renzo Olivo | 18c | 60.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Renzo Olivo | 18c | 57.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Renzo Olivo | 20c | 54.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Renzo Olivo | 35c | 43.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Renzo Olivo | 29c | 41.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Renzo Olivo | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…b0c5backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.