Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstetten: Anna Siskova vs Teodora Kostovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12a9c862138f39ac4b2bc4cdfd0a16dbee65035058a0af4d608354a5cd103a60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teodora Kostovicof Anna Siskova, Teodora Kostovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Teodora Kostovic | 72c | 4,521$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anna Siskova | 28c | 3,260$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Teodora Kostovic | 69c | 2,305$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.63 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Anna Siskova | 37c | 472.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anna Siskova | 34c | 328.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 309.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Anna Siskova | 37c | 270.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Anna Siskova | 30c | 202.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Teodora Kostovic | 77c | 194.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Anna Siskova | 22c | 174.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Anna Siskova | 34c | 169.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Anna Siskova | 16c | 157$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Anna Siskova | 24c | 83.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anna Siskova | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anna Siskova | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Teodora Kostovic | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Teodora Kostovic | 80c | 51.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Anna Siskova | 25c | 51.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Teodora Kostovic | 66c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anna Siskova | 34c | 40.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Teodora Kostovic | 74c | 28.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Teodora Kostovic | 69c | 27.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Teodora Kostovic | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Teodora Kostovic | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed Teodora Kostovic | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Teodora Kostovic | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Teodora Kostovic | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Teodora Kostovic | 76c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.