Tennis · resolved market
Kitzbuehel: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Maria Lourdes Carle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12caa1ac71d74c5fe694c6a545ae1206c661fa910806c18e286842452b06fd45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marina Bassols Riberaof Marina Bassols Ribera, Maria Lourdes Carle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 32c | 7,391$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.39 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 64c | 6,586$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.1 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 63c | 3,268$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.25 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 49c | 2,161$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.46 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 64c | 1,503$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.98 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 1,437$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.68 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 36c | 1,216$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.85 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 44c | 1,131$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 174 | 23.6%41 W · 133 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 33c | 1,110$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.34 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 1,007$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.57 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 61c | 1,002$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.38 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 44c | 977.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 55c | 477.19$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.05 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 6c | 262.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 224.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 77c | 209.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 195$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 184.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 15c | 167.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b2d4backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 48c | 154.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 57c | 137.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 69c | 137.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 131.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 118.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 113.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 78c | 79.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 57c | 70.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 63c | 62.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 36c | 50.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 63c | 47.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 37c | 32.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 36c | 30.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 56c | 30.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 64c | 28.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 62c | 28.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 36c | 27.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 521 | 35.1%183 W · 338 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…0d78backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 63c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 58c | 18.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 69c | 14.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kitzbuehel: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Maria Lourdes Carlethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ribera vs CarleRibera won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.