CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Monte (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x133208e03071ba550e1a8c38f871dd05172a92adfa8676c5a00c2cb23c8ad69f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof BESTIA, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BESTIA | 32c | 2,308$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.06 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Monte | 68c | 2,003$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.9 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed BESTIA | 33c | 1,700$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.3 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Monte | 57c | 1,161$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Monte | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Monte | 68c | 747.68$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 32c | 555.55$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Monte | 67c | 490.61$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Monte | 67c | 425$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Monte | 75c | 400.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed BESTIA | 25c | 388.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 25c | 385.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked BESTIA | 32c | 382.91$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Monte | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed BESTIA | 45c | 275$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 34c | 256.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed BESTIA | 32c | 215.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed BESTIA | 46c | 171.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked BESTIA | 17c | 140.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed BESTIA | 22c | 133.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed BESTIA | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA | 26c | 114.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BESTIA | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Monte | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked BESTIA | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Monte | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BESTIA | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked BESTIA | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Monte | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Monte | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BESTIA | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Monte | 61c | 72.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BESTIA | 33c | 72.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked Monte | 61c | 70.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed BESTIA | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…6707backed BESTIA | 43c | 60.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed BESTIA | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed BESTIA | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Monte | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…dbfdbacked Monte | 77c | 47.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…70debacked BESTIA | 43c | 44.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Monte | 68c | 43.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Monte | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked BESTIA | 34c | 42.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…feecbacked BESTIA | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed BESTIA | 30c | 40.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked BESTIA | 39c | 38.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BESTIA | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Monte | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…6c14backed BESTIA | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Monte | 64c | 21.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b795backed Monte | 69c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Monte | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Monte | 69c | 17.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…178bbacked Monte | 69c | 17.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Monte | 70c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.