Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x135c20a1a745ca9e157f430c9593f5f18e9c1f89bc7c5e04f5e6a2fbaf74c5b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42fc…7192backed Under | 51c | 5,132$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…ce19backed Over | 49c | 4,975$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 50c | 2,054$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.23 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 30c | 1,464$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.43 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 75c | 1,332$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.62 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 50c | 1,028$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 74c | 291.52$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Over | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 50c | 150.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 61c | 115.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Under | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 44c | 83.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 51c | 57.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…91b2backed Over | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…57ddbacked Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 66c | 25.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)Rex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaRex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 WinnerFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 WinnerRex Regum Qeon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.