Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x136b205cae60b7bfedde8571bf42912dab781f8392149f521334b8d901a276f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,595 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1a1…131abacked No | 46c | 358$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…0b25backed Yes | 54c | 334$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…fa9fbacked Yes | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…6843backed No | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…bed8backed Yes | 54c | 316$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…4e21backed No | 46c | 302$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 295.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…a18ebacked Yes | 38c | 113.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 54c | 108.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 46c | 95.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 28.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.