Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Northwestern State Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x139d86207edaba65feff96c23ae0f9a5aa8ae6215dcbf039696a6d9d64234de2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern State Demonsof Houston Christian Huskies, Northwestern State Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Northwestern State Demons | 70c | 450.52$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Houston Christian Huskies | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northwestern State Demons | 69c | 261.88$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Houston Christian Huskies | 9c | 225.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northwestern State Demons | 58c | 217$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 42c | 215$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 33c | 169.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Christian Huskies | 20c | 155.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northwestern State Demons | 57c | 117.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Christian Huskies | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Northwestern State Demons | 65c | 86.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 41c | 64.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Houston Christian Huskies | 42c | 60.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…5de1backed Northwestern State Demons | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern State Demons | 77c | 40.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Houston Christian Huskies | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern State Demons | 57c | 33.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Houston Christian Huskies | 41c | 31.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Northwestern State Demons | 57c | 26.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc321…a50ebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northwestern State Demons | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.