Tennis · resolved market
ITF Don Benito: Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Victoria Allen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13dd87ff7169e65a4d7aababe6097d6ff4d17458b946af3729e42f8c20c6ba12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Allenof Maria Oliver Sanchez, Victoria Allen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa032…2090backed Maria Oliver Sanchez | 36c | 1,409$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.93 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Oliver Sanchez | 36c | 1,010$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.03 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Victoria Allen | 64c | 545$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Oliver Sanchez | 36c | 520.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Victoria Allen | 66c | 494.62$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Victoria Allen | 66c | 486.42$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Victoria Allen | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Victoria Allen | 62c | 369$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Victoria Allen | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Victoria Allen | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Victoria Allen | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Victoria Allen | 72c | 139.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf61…8633backed Maria Oliver Sanchez | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Victoria Allen | 63c | 100.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Victoria Allen | 62c | 90.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Victoria Allen | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Victoria Allen | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Maria Oliver Sanchez | 35c | 81.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…923dbacked Maria Oliver Sanchez | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Maria Oliver Sanchez | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Victoria Allen | 63c | 79.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maria Oliver Sanchez | 36c | 67.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Victoria Allen | 60c | 61.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Maria Oliver Sanchez | 40c | 61.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…cb87backed Victoria Allen | 66c | 60.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Victoria Allen | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…3012backed Victoria Allen | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Victoria Allen | 65c | 41.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Victoria Allen | 64c | 40.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Maria Oliver Sanchez | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Maria Oliver Sanchez | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Victoria Allen | 63c | 29.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Victoria Allen | 64c | 27.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Victoria Allen | 65c | 24.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…52bebacked Victoria Allen | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Victoria Allen | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Victoria Allen | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Victoria Allen | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.