Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock Trojans vs. UT Martin Skyhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x140cdf25b313f52541a886fc8a94460ad936261506c7fa0bdc3156c4ae5805a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Martin Skyhawksof Little Rock Trojans, UT Martin Skyhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 75c | 2,314$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.16 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 75c | 2,139$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.86 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Little Rock Trojans | 9c | 1,967$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Little Rock Trojans | 21c | 1,900$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Little Rock Trojans | 25c | 1,783$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 79c | 1,195$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Little Rock Trojans | 25c | 1,166$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…7774backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 78c | 1,102$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Little Rock Trojans | 27c | 833.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Little Rock Trojans | 30c | 530.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 55c | 530.13$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Little Rock Trojans | 24c | 451.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 59c | 347.89$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 74c | 303.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Little Rock Trojans | 28c | 242.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 74c | 224.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Little Rock Trojans | 21c | 213.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 27c | 201.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Little Rock Trojans | 31c | 166.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Little Rock Trojans | 24c | 155.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Little Rock Trojans | 24c | 135.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf6…cecbbacked Little Rock Trojans | 19c | 85.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Little Rock Trojans | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Little Rock Trojans | 35c | 75.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Little Rock Trojans | 28c | 61.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Little Rock Trojans | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 77c | 48.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked Little Rock Trojans | 26c | 39.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Little Rock Trojans | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Little Rock Trojans | 47c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Little Rock Trojans vs. UT Martin Skyhawksthis page
- Little Rock Trojans vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: UT Martin Skyhawks (-6.5)Little Rock Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.