Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x143cf66aba4c6690b737a1af57cf9b3439d5ace4c7b71bbcab078491efa42cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,963$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 45c | 2,834$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.46 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Under | 46c | 1,551$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.94 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 1,110$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.62 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under | 57c | 1,077$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 730.61$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.57 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.67 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 63c | 488.9$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.46 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 480.67$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.82 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 51c | 299.18$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 268.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 74c | 266.95$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 249.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 165.65$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Under | 51c | 160.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…108cbacked Under | 77c | 157.62$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 23c | 155.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 52c | 132.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Over | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 80c | 59.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 51.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 50.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…d14fbacked Under | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 71c | 32.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6681…abc8backed Under | 52c | 32.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Over | 49c | 31.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 72c | 31.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 25.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 69c | 22.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 20.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 55c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 13.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.