Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0291f2b193e9d56174eeadaf78b5754243c25406fe8f6e1a0c939904cde9f4fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbab7…6ac6backed Over | 75c | 1,530$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,074$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 569.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 26c | 499.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 26c | 486.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 36c | 462.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 404.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 378.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 57c | 348.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 216.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 189.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 23c | 171.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 30c | 160.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 75c | 147.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 24c | 140.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 76c | 140.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 41c | 115.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Under | 26c | 103.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…84e9backed Over | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 49.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 41c | 48.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 75c | 31.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 74c | 20.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 75c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 70c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.