CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1446d3c88cdf899f12f50ccf5e0cc48cde4cec41a765c2d3cf2e8308c828d16d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Sashi Esport, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 1,223$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 749.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 402 | 45.3%182 W · 220 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 562.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.72 | 605 | 41%248 W · 357 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Sashi Esport | 38c | 517.81$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 590 | 39.3%232 W · 358 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Sashi Esport | 44c | 490.65$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.76 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 419.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 353 | 40.2%142 W · 211 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 344.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked Sashi Esport | 45c | 332.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 330.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed ex-RUSTEC | 61c | 327.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 339 | 61.9%210 W · 129 L | +25.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 231.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Sashi Esport | 39c | 210.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 369 | 42.8%158 W · 211 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUSTEC | 61c | 200.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 742 | 51.1%379 W · 363 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Sashi Esport | 34c | 131.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1,066 | 39.7%423 W · 643 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Sashi Esport | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 850 | 43.1%366 W · 484 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 91.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 88.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 82.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1,406 | 66.4%933 W · 473 L | +77.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 74.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 62.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 36.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 793 | 46.4%368 W · 425 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 35.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 287 | 49.1%141 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Sashi Esport | 39c | 27.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffsex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.