CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb16cb521d17327a7c80847623e7bf26251c8f36dfcbb6fc0a5d0c324f697544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Sashi Esport, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 1,876$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.84 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 1,237$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.38 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sashi Esport | 60c | 605.27$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.68 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 414.05$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sashi Esport | 54c | 399.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 289.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 265.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Sashi Esport | 21c | 261.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 768 | 38.3%294 W · 474 L | -33.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Sashi Esport | 52c | 232.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…57cfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 203.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Sashi Esport | 59c | 201.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked Sashi Esport | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sashi Esport | 57c | 194.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sashi Esport | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…2827backed ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sashi Esport | 60c | 149$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Sashi Esport | 49c | 116.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Sashi Esport | 48c | 98.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed Sashi Esport | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sashi Esport | 36c | 89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 88.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed Sashi Esport | 35c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Sashi Esport | 38c | 84.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Sashi Esport | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 78.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Sashi Esport | 59c | 75.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sashi Esport | 53c | 71.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 69.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1,685 | 32.7%551 W · 1,134 L | -48.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sashi Esport | 25c | 66.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 63.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sashi Esport | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sashi Esport | 62c | 53.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sashi Esport | 57c | 53.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Sashi Esport | 59c | 50.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Sashi Esport | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 413 | 33.9%140 W · 273 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Sashi Esport | 66c | 47.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Sashi Esport | 60c | 42.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Sashi Esport | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 38.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sashi Esport | 64c | 32.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 30.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Sashi Esport | 66c | 30.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Sashi Esport | 38c | 29.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 545 | 45.3%247 W · 298 L | -20.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Sashi Esport | 56c | 28.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,442 | 46.8%1,142 W · 1,300 L | -54.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff8…89a0backed Sashi Esport | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffsex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)ex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.