CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a45886e35af2aaf42c8fb2ab4dd35aa5dbad8122d9538a13b58ec2213b31d72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x344d…fd5bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 10c | 1,078$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Sashi Esport | 78c | 900.13$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Sashi Esport | 62c | 741.58$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sashi Esport | 78c | 585.11$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Sashi Esport | 53c | 421.49$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-RUSTEC | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 580 | 37.8%219 W · 361 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 270.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 256.94$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sashi Esport | 63c | 256$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 765 | 53.3%408 W · 357 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 196.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sashi Esport | 73c | 174.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Sashi Esport | 72c | 151.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed ex-RUSTEC | 32c | 119.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 768 | 38.3%294 W · 474 L | -33.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sashi Esport | 76c | 109$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Sashi Esport | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC | 32c | 101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…81b9backed Sashi Esport | 66c | 100.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-RUSTEC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed Sashi Esport | 69c | 74.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Sashi Esport | 69c | 72.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 74 | 83.8%62 W · 12 L | +12.5wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ex-RUSTEC | 29c | 70.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 645 | 48.4%312 W · 333 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 64.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 32c | 60.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Sashi Esport | 74c | 58.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 51.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Sashi Esport | 68c | 46.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 25c | 41.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sashi Esport | 70c | 35.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9563…243bbacked Sashi Esport | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sashi Esport | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Sashi Esport | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffsex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)ex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.