Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x144e478104c723954f8aeb6a7538255e592f3afc6bcb53ddced57a64f6fa4875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 940.93$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 837.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 825.44$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 58c | 744.6$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.95 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 707.2$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 47c | 646.53$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.66 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 51c | 487$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.53 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 426.73$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.48 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 409.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 391.16$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 37c | 306.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 241$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 41c | 239.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 224.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 57c | 224$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 165.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 57c | 161.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 38c | 131.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 55c | 114.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ce…e90bbacked No | 59c | 74.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 57c | 68.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 79c | 64.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 54c | 53.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…4aa1backed No | 60c | 41.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 42c | 27.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 45c | 23.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.