Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Cadence Brace vs Kayla Cross
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b272660cf3b13dbf4e2312c18c635a7d218c7777eba8399c36a6c700eb6317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crossof Brace, Cross
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cross | 67c | 4,354$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cross | 68c | 2,578$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brace | 28c | 1,979$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brace | 37c | 1,929$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Brace | 40c | 1,364$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.01 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brace | 43c | 1,296$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Brace | 46c | 1,154$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.92 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Brace | 38c | 923.55$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cross | 51c | 883$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.88 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Cross | 51c | 867$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.85 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Brace | 47c | 534.89$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Cross | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Brace | 36c | 367.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Cross | 70c | 259.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brace | 33c | 246.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brace | 51c | 227.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cross | 49c | 190.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cross | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Brace | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Cross | 70c | 171.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Cross | 43c | 150.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cross | 70c | 150.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Cross | 79c | 144$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Brace | 40c | 132.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cross | 51c | 118.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Brace | 49c | 102.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cross | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Cross | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brace | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brace | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Brace | 31c | 99.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cross | 36c | 92.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brace | 46c | 89.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3120backed Brace | 22c | 83.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Brace | 39c | 75.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed Cross | 61c | 56.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Brace | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cross | 53c | 44.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Brace | 37c | 36.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Brace | 49c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Cross | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed Brace | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Brace | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Brace | 49c | 20.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Brace | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…e84fbacked Cross | 69c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.