Tennis · resolved market
Busan: Tung-Lin Wu vs Taro Daniel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152a4c0316904e62bd8a3f65ce8706d3564575e82bbaa38960e38b95124fdf45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tung-Lin Wuof Tung-Lin Wu, Taro Daniel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Taro Daniel | 6c | 11,275$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.62 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Taro Daniel | 9c | 4,000$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.29 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Taro Daniel | 51c | 1,978$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.01 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Taro Daniel | 8c | 1,835$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Taro Daniel | 9c | 1,441$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tung-Lin Wu | 67c | 1,409$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Taro Daniel | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tung-Lin Wu | 66c | 890.43$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Tung-Lin Wu | 54c | 722.06$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.13 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Taro Daniel | 12c | 612.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Taro Daniel | 46c | 541.51$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Tung-Lin Wu | 79c | 489.95$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Taro Daniel | 8c | 309.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tung-Lin Wu | 52c | 270.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Taro Daniel | 47c | 257.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tung-Lin Wu | 59c | 249.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Taro Daniel | 23c | 225.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 66c | 214.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Taro Daniel | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Taro Daniel | 46c | 206.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Tung-Lin Wu | 53c | 205.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Tung-Lin Wu | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Taro Daniel | 47c | 174$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Tung-Lin Wu | 59c | 148.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Taro Daniel | 9c | 140.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 58c | 128.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Tung-Lin Wu | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Tung-Lin Wu | 73c | 108.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tung-Lin Wu | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Taro Daniel | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Tung-Lin Wu | 58c | 99.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Taro Daniel | 49c | 99.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Taro Daniel | 46c | 84.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tung-Lin Wu | 78c | 75.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Taro Daniel | 26c | 75.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Taro Daniel | 47c | 74.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tung-Lin Wu | 53c | 71.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 67c | 69.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Taro Daniel | 23c | 66.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Taro Daniel | 43c | 61.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Tung-Lin Wu | 52c | 60.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 585 | 53%310 W · 275 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tung-Lin Wu | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 63c | 59.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Taro Daniel | 51c | 53.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Taro Daniel | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Taro Daniel | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Taro Daniel | 29c | 41.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Taro Daniel | 40c | 36.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tung-Lin Wu | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Tung-Lin Wu | 54c | 35.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…52a2backed Taro Daniel | 47c | 30.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…093ebacked Taro Daniel | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Tung-Lin Wu | 70c | 25.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Tung-Lin Wu | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Tung-Lin Wu | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Busan: Tung-Lin Wu vs Taro Danielthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wu vs DanielWu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.