Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Josy Daems vs Lola Giza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15332efd75316d1e230b9bcffe1a5b1c77fa5d2d2cc11f7f38a425a33da2f306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Josy Daemsof Josy Daems, Lola Giza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Josy Daems | 34c | 4,745$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Lola Giza | 72c | 2,496$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lola Giza | 70c | 1,521$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.35 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Josy Daems | 41c | 1,227$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.61 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Josy Daems | 73c | 1,074$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.62 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lola Giza | 79c | 1,025$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed Josy Daems | 36c | 902.68$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.3 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Josy Daems | 29c | 576.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.1 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lola Giza | 59c | 550$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lola Giza | 59c | 545.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Josy Daems | 48c | 292.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Lola Giza | 76c | 263.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Josy Daems | 46c | 262.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Josy Daems | 23c | 207.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…1677backed Lola Giza | 63c | 159.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3005…458dbacked Josy Daems | 38c | 145.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Josy Daems | 25c | 131.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lola Giza | 33c | 129.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Josy Daems | 37c | 125.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Lola Giza | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Josy Daems | 20c | 98.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lola Giza | 50c | 91.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Josy Daems | 26c | 91.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Josy Daems | 33c | 81.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Josy Daems | 25c | 80.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Josy Daems | 25c | 80.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Josy Daems | 38c | 76.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lola Giza | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Lola Giza | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lola Giza | 50c | 53.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Lola Giza | 73c | 53.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Josy Daems | 79c | 37.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Lola Giza | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lola Giza | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lola Giza | 52c | 27.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Lola Giza | 59c | 27.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…3953backed Lola Giza | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Lola Giza | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.