Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Matthew Dellavedova vs Max Purcell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154ee79a3964b6ec5cb627c3123378e3b2d311065de9bb4931fa7fdb6c3f8f98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Purcellof Matthew Dellavedova, Max Purcell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matthew Dellavedova | 27c | 711.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matthew Dellavedova | 26c | 621.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matthew Dellavedova | 19c | 275.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Matthew Dellavedova | 10c | 271.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Max Purcell | 74c | 226.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…2f2ebacked Max Purcell | 74c | 216.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 25c | 208.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Max Purcell | 79c | 190.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Purcell | 74c | 162.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 17c | 109.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 35c | 101.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Max Purcell | 74c | 73.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Max Purcell | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Max Purcell | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 26c | 61.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Max Purcell | 73c | 49.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Max Purcell | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Max Purcell | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Max Purcell | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Matthew Dellavedova | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Max Purcell | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Max Purcell | 71c | 30.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Max Purcell | 73c | 28.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Max Purcell | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Max Purcell | 74c | 23.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Max Purcell | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Max Purcell | 76c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Max Purcell | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Max Purcell | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Max Purcell | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Max Purcell | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.