Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Insomnia vs REIGNITE FOXX (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1579ee164f7905ee0e44e48dd80b61b11f0f665651912c2d08a6103da7d378b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REIGNITE FOXXof Insomnia, REIGNITE FOXX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Insomnia | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 57c | 385.32$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Insomnia | 37c | 368.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Insomnia | 14c | 346.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed REIGNITE FOXX | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 60c | 304.76$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Insomnia | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Insomnia | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Insomnia | 40c | 248$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Insomnia | 7c | 231.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Insomnia | 17c | 229.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Insomnia | 22c | 215.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed REIGNITE FOXX | 62c | 190.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Insomnia | 11c | 112.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…3fd9backed REIGNITE FOXX | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Insomnia | 15c | 73.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REIGNITE FOXX | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Insomnia | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Insomnia | 20c | 55.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed REIGNITE FOXX | 64c | 54.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed REIGNITE FOXX | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Insomnia | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Insomnia | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Insomnia | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Insomnia | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 59c | 26.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Insomnia vs REIGNITE FOXX (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1this page
- Valorant: Insomnia vs REIGNITE FOXX - Map 2 WinnerREIGNITE FOXX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.