Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs DIA Ozarox Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157c83427bc3b5ac4cfe40a40ecdf352bc8c17b2253d2269e5d25ea792b7975c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Passageof Dark Passage, DIA Ozarox Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Dark Passage | 51c | 1,207$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.61 | 626 | 45.8%287 W · 339 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 66c | 1,145$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.6 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked Dark Passage | 32c | 1,016$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 38cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,845 | 41.4%1,178 W · 1,667 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…4ed0backed Dark Passage | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 57c | 428.33$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…d35ebacked Dark Passage | 52c | 303.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 48c | 195.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 405 | 55.1%223 W · 182 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 49c | 122.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 49c | 45.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs DIA Ozarox Esports (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: DIA (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Game Handicap: DP (-2.5) vs DIA Ozarox Esports (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsDark Passage won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerDark Passage won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerDark Passage won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.