Lol · resolved market
LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc5697d7196f0ab033a03870dc723ce7db32777b11b5b940a9d848d318519ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Passageof DIA Ozarox Esports, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Dark Passage | 61c | 823.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 1,696 | 59.5%1,009 W · 687 L | +101.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 38c | 644.78$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed Dark Passage | 71c | 482.27$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 7c | 309.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 588 | 10%59 W · 529 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…452fbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 37c | 270.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 39c | 265.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Dark Passage | 71c | 240.44$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Dark Passage | 63c | 216.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Dark Passage | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 614 | 59.6%366 W · 248 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 15c | 149.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Dark Passage | 63c | 137.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1,509 | 48.5%732 W · 777 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 40c | 109.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 29c | 109.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 34c | 103.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2,005 | 48.3%969 W · 1,036 L | +25.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Dark Passage | 80c | 102.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 248 | 67.3%167 W · 81 L | +35.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,383 | 47.4%655 W · 728 L | -35.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 26c | 96.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,040 | 46.8%487 W · 553 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Dark Passage | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 29c | 70.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dark Passage | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,893 | 39.8%754 W · 1,139 L | -68.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Dark Passage | 65c | 63.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 177 | 62.7%111 W · 66 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Dark Passage | 61c | 53.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 336 | 41.1%138 W · 198 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 658 | 42.1%277 W · 381 L | -56.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 40c | 47.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 680 | 43.1%293 W · 387 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 33c | 45.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 34c | 40.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 439 | 50.3%221 W · 218 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Dark Passage | 62c | 40.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Dark Passage | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 396 | 55.1%218 W · 178 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…5937backed Dark Passage | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Dark Passage | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 220 | 60%132 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Dark Passage | 62c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Dark Passage | 61c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 474 | 61.6%292 W · 182 L | +29.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Dark Passage | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dark Passage | 65c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,431 | 31.2%446 W · 985 L | -141.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…866bbacked Dark Passage | 62c | 16.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 464 | 55.2%256 W · 208 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DIA (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs DIA Ozarox Esports (+1.5)Dark Passage won
- Game Handicap: DP (-2.5) vs DIA Ozarox Esports (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsDark Passage won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerDark Passage won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.