Lol · resolved market
LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc923a6a0147929a596bbd0dd4d17cd593e8693461c9c1b6bf93a13d6575161a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Passageof DIA Ozarox Esports, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Dark Passage | 70c | 1,596$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 21c | 1,558$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.11 | 1,509 | 48.5%732 W · 777 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 28c | 1,485$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.01 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 31c | 1,290$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.88 | 800 | 49.9%399 W · 401 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked Dark Passage | 64c | 1,018$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 38cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Dark Passage | 72c | 630$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed Dark Passage | 72c | 603$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…79f4backed Dark Passage | 67c | 600.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 33c | 515.18$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.09 | 717 | 57%409 W · 308 L | +36.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 25c | 509.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 330 | 20.6%68 W · 262 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Dark Passage | 73c | 456.57$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 121 | 68.6%83 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 22c | 454.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 815 | 50.7%413 W · 402 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…ee2abacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 19c | 349.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Dark Passage | 70c | 347$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 431 | 43.2%186 W · 245 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 36c | 319.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 252 | 34.9%88 W · 164 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 28c | 318.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 521 | 55.9%291 W · 230 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 36c | 312$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 602 | 48.5%292 W · 310 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 26c | 305.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 98 | 64.3%63 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 32c | 286.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 376 | 45.5%171 W · 205 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Dark Passage | 71c | 285.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 316 | 53.8%170 W · 146 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 8c | 248.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 19c | 238.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,110 | 46.3%514 W · 596 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Dark Passage | 76c | 218.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 15c | 141.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,022 | 45.4%464 W · 558 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 20c | 126.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,494 | 43.6%651 W · 843 L | -31.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 17c | 125.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 923 | 49.9%461 W · 462 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…4079backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 31c | 125.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 13c | 118.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,129 | 47.8%540 W · 589 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Dark Passage | 79c | 112.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 15c | 108.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2,005 | 48.3%969 W · 1,036 L | +25.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…ed50backed Dark Passage | 78c | 101.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Dark Passage | 77c | 101.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 248 | 67.3%167 W · 81 L | +35.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Dark Passage | 59c | 98.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 400 | 41.8%167 W · 233 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…e478backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 33c | 91.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 32c | 88.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 21c | 80.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,893 | 39.8%754 W · 1,139 L | -68.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 13c | 79.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Dark Passage | 78c | 77.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 405 | 55.1%223 W · 182 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 26c | 70.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,609 | 55.4%892 W · 717 L | +84.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Dark Passage | 71c | 68.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 78.7%48 W · 13 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 21c | 64.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 363 | 58.4%212 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…2040backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 17c | 63.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Dark Passage | 63c | 53.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 680 | 43.1%293 W · 387 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 336 | 41.1%138 W · 198 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,383 | 47.4%655 W · 728 L | -35.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 34c | 48.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbded…48b7backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Dark Passage | 76c | 46.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 37c | 46.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked DIA Ozarox Esports | 28c | 41.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 658 | 42.1%277 W · 381 L | -56.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DIA Ozarox Esports | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed Dark Passage | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Dark Passage | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 413 | 56.9%235 W · 178 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dark Passage | 73c | 29.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 2,388 | 41%978 W · 1,410 L | -56.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…ae79backed Dark Passage | 73c | 25.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Dark Passage | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 396 | 55.1%218 W · 178 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…95c2backed Dark Passage | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Dark Passage | 69c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Dark Passage | 75c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1,273 | 40%509 W · 764 L | -69.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Dark Passage | 80c | 16.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…9456backed Dark Passage | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Dark Passage | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Dark Passage | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DIA (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs DIA Ozarox Esports (+1.5)Dark Passage won
- Game Handicap: DP (-2.5) vs DIA Ozarox Esports (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsDark Passage won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerDark Passage won
- LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.