South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157d8aea97d93fd0174d0dd08b53cd04d6d64d2dd4f8cb09133c1dcdd84da2b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 3,788$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 52c | 3,563$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 2,772$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 36c | 1,850$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 23c | 1,019$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 59c | 799.87$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.92 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 786.75$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.5 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 16c | 601.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 32c | 599.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…5096backed Over | 55c | 520.27$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 454.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.82 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 29c | 453.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 48c | 347.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 25c | 342.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 268.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 56c | 251.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 251.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 58c | 218.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 77c | 187.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 57c | 147.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 119.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 47c | 118.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 97.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 41c | 97.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 41c | 97.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 41c | 97.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 45c | 94.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 89.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 41c | 84.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 54c | 79.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 78.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 57c | 76.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Over | 55c | 72.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 69c | 70.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 67c | 68.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 66.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 41c | 58.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 35c | 55.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 51.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 44c | 46.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 42.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 55c | 28.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 77c | 27.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 57c | 25.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 57c | 25.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 74c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 78c | 21.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 78c | 17.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1687…0e03backed Under | 68c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.