Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161387d5d6ee9984aff430b623eb286891bac3d3135431bedc981b5632038bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof Western Michigan Broncos, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,075 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 13c | 3,641$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.51 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 1,565$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 13c | 1,318$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Western Michigan Broncos | 15c | 1,260$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Western Michigan Broncos | 20c | 801.55$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 16c | 717.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 16c | 622.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 16c | 597.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Western Michigan Broncos | 9c | 470.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Michigan Broncos | 15c | 430.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 421.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 7c | 274.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Western Michigan Broncos | 7c | 201.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 10c | 176.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Western Michigan Broncos | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 149.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Western Michigan Broncos | 13c | 146.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 8c | 134.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Western Michigan Broncos | 14c | 112.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 16c | 104.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 16c | 80.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 15c | 71.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 14c | 69.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Western Michigan Broncos | 16c | 67.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Western Michigan Broncos | 20c | 63.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Kent State Golden Flashesthis page
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-12.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 157.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.