Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1636013d2e546a7f77938e9d46aacb215903430e04d734499c8a1517a8c76a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof Trace Esports, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trace Esports | 14c | 1,794$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Trace Esports | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Trace Esports | 24c | 427.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…9392backed FunPlus Phoenix | 36c | 303.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports | 8c | 233$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Trace Esports | 10c | 105.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…987dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 29c | 101.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +243.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed FunPlus Phoenix | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Trace Esports | 46c | 43.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed Trace Esports | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Trace Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed FunPlus Phoenix | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trace Esports | 43c | 29.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Trace Esports | 58c | 25.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.