TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
BOMBA Teamof UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki, BOMBA Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,645 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki9c462.55$41 inLost-$40.731,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki9c364.6$34 inLost-$34.1835435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki20c260$51 inLost-$50.851,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki9c209.67$19 inLost-$18.721844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki8c188.19$16 inLost-$15.712,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba8…cd40backed UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki7c167.61$12 inLost-$12.484226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki9c110$10 inLost-$10.443837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa32…a296backed BOMBA Team75c24.93$19 inWon+$6.185162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.