TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Bryant Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bryant Bulldogsof New Hampshire Wildcats, Bryant Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bryant Bulldogs38c1,127$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.251,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bryant Bulldogs65c1,105$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.341,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New Hampshire Wildcats60c1,024$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.891,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Hampshire Wildcats42c316.38$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.233,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Hampshire Wildcats45c278.65$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.231,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Hampshire Wildcats59c168.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.392,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked New Hampshire Wildcats52c156.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New Hampshire Wildcats36c90.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.822,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Hampshire Wildcats35c89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.411,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked New Hampshire Wildcats44c68.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.075,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bryant Bulldogs42c58.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed New Hampshire Wildcats60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked New Hampshire Wildcats50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Bryant Bulldogs60c47.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.148350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed New Hampshire Wildcats23c43.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Bryant Bulldogs59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Bryant Bulldogs50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Bryant Bulldogs42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed New Hampshire Wildcats51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.352353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New Hampshire Wildcats58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.44,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Bryant Bulldogs50c27.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bryant Bulldogs77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed New Hampshire Wildcats64c23.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed New Hampshire Wildcats65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bryant Bulldogs52c19.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.