La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f8be90e903bf5edd5427c31df2e6b31eb72002ef50666247abcf41296c718d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 79c | 21,482$17,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.65 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 24c | 8,475$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.12 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 7,318$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.47 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 4,090$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.2 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 7c | 2,847$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed No | 23c | 2,510$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 721.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 429.4$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 10c | 405.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 404.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 364.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.91 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 11c | 331.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 19c | 226.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 142$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 19c | 119.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked No | 28c | 108.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 26c | 108.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 20c | 80.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189b…5718backed Yes | 80c | 66.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 22c | 59.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked No | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4c…afe5backed No | 29c | 51.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 51.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 73c | 43.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 78c | 26.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 20.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…0f12backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 74c | 17.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 78c | 14.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.