South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17349221c9c46b610de256636d86501f3231e99b53bdf5f29ed7bc3909830b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 78c | 8,953$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.25 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 3,792$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 36c | 3,518$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.42 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 62c | 1,739$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.13 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 35c | 1,623$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.91 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 1,414$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 33c | 1,120$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.4 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 1,108$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Under | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 768.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 76c | 654.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 505.6$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 377.49$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 370$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 37c | 361.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 34c | 254.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 66c | 246.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 70c | 237.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 22c | 204.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 168$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 31c | 165.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 34c | 139.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 29c | 134.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Under | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…7b1abacked Over | 35c | 104.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 87.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 30c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 34c | 75.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Over | 39c | 70.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 29c | 69.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 32c | 58.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 58.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 68c | 57.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Under | 62c | 44.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…9132backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 29.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Under | 68c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…4831backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: CA Vélez Sarsfield O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.