CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174e560a18315e18083b8cbd8fafe975c409e552b0f112a45aec885ba2ae51fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked NRG | 44c | 113,713$49,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,229.92 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Voca | 55c | 102,262$56,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,149.34 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Voca | 57c | 58,961$33,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,579.16 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NRG | 47c | 30,546$14,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,219.38 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed NRG | 43c | 19,371$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,041.69 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed NRG | 47c | 7,195$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.83 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Voca | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Voca | 56c | 5,395$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.03 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NRG | 44c | 4,769$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.7 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Voca | 46c | 4,516$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.55 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…bab6backed NRG | 45c | 2,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.97 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed NRG | 54c | 2,260$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Voca | 59c | 2,213$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.61 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed NRG | 44c | 2,150$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.22 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Voca | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Voca | 56c | 1,597$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.45 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Voca | 57c | 1,291$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.64 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Voca | 59c | 776.99$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.42 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Voca | 58c | 701.48$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.01 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked NRG | 52c | 698.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.87 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Voca | 30c | 653.66$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed NRG | 69c | 642.36$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Voca | 57c | 526$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed NRG | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed NRG | 45c | 494.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Voca | 43c | 491.29$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Voca | 57c | 481.88$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.55 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Voca | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Voca | 17c | 456.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Voca | 43c | 443.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Voca | 50c | 420$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG | 76c | 394.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed NRG | 42c | 394.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.79 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed NRG | 59c | 392.21$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Voca | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Voca | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed NRG | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed NRG | 41c | 244.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Voca | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed NRG | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Voca | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Voca | 54c | 185.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NRG | 42c | 181.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Voca | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Voca | 45c | 149.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Voca | 46c | 111.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked NRG | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Voca | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Voca | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Voca | 59c | 93.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Voca | 54c | 69.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Voca | 20c | 69.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Voca | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Voca | 51c | 49.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Voca | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked NRG | 41c | 47.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Voca | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed NRG | 45c | 43.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Voca | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Voca | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Voca | 58c | 35.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc584…fd07backed NRG | 75c | 32.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Voca | 56c | 31.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Voca | 57c | 30.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Voca | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked NRG | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Voca | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…2afcbacked Voca | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Voca | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Voca | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Voca | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…6f74backed Voca | 56c | 18.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.